Sorry I forgot to post something yesterday. It was Friday but I didn't even realize that it was. I think I was still recovering from lots of turkey and drinking. Yesterday was a pretty nice win by the Huskers. Hopefully they still have some of those sweet trick plays next week in the Big 12 Championship for Texas or Oklahoma. Last week my picks took a step back from the 5-0 day 2 weeks ago, going 1-3-1 last week. That's OK though. In the last 2 weeks I've won two different pools and over $400! So hopefully I can turn it around here again. Here we go...
1* Tennessee -18` Over Kentucky - Ainge is back at QB full strength for UT, and he makes a huge difference, making this a very good passing offense. Kentucky is giving up over 500 yards a game on the road. UK has been playing well of late, but all that does is give us some line value, so it helps. But this one is all about the UT offense rolling all over the UK defense.
2* Oklahoma -6 Over Oklahoma St - If OU wins this game they will go to the Big 12 Championship to face Nebraska. With that incentive that was added yesterday after A&M took out Texas, OU will be incredibly focused. OSU has played really well this season, especially on offense. Problem is, their defense still sucks. OU's defense is possibly the best in the country. I expect the OU defense to completely shut down OSU, and OU wins by 2 TD's or more.
3* Maryland -1 Over Wake Forest - This game is to decide who goes to the ACC Championship Game. Miami beat BC Thursday night, which adds incentive for Maryland - if BC had won, Maryland would not be able to go to the Championship. Last week Maryland's first 2 posessions ended in defensive TD's for BC, and they were never able to get back into it. This week at home, turnovers won't be a problem. Maryland is simply a more rounded team, better coach especially in games that matter (Wake has never really played a game that matters), and the home field. I'm still not sold on Wake and Maryland will win this game, though it will be close.
4* Missouri -7 Over Kansas - KU is coming off a big win over rival KSU, who was off a huge hangover win over Texas. Mizzou went into ISU and came out with a loss against a team playing inspired for coach McCarney. Those games give us a touch of value. Mizzou has lost 3 straight games, and that gives us big line value. Missouri is far better on offense, better on defense, and have the home field. Mizzou has been incredible on offense and defense at home this season. Mizzou needs a win here, are a far more talented team, and this line should probably be in the double digits instead of 7. Mizzou rolls by more than 2 TD's.
5* UTEP -11 Over Memphis - UTEP has had a rough year, after a decent start. However, this is a very good offense, one of the best passing offenses in the country. They are going up against a Memphis defense that is one of the worst in the country against the pass. As a result, UTEP will put up a whole lot of points - in the upper 40's at least. With those numbers, UTEP should cover by 10 points or more.
2 more things to say. Arizona -3 over Arizona St is another game I love. UA is a solid team, and their QB Tuitama is back healthy. With him, they are a very solid football team, and I expect them to win by 10. It was tough deciding between them and Tenn for my 1* selection.
Creighton has a Final 4 opponent coming to the QWest today. Last year CU won at George Mason by 20some points. CU is favored by 9`, and that line surprised me after getting beat at NU last week. GM lost at home to Wichita though, and have a lot of holes to fill. I expect this game to be a lot closer, and I won't be as bold as I was last week, but I like GM to cover those 9` points.
Good Luck!
DK
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