Saturday, November 18, 2006

My Picks for 11/18/06

For those of you starting to give up on my picks, I hope you didn't give up on me last week, as I went 5-0! I also won the Prog Pool last week, going 7-3 in those picks. That ND game really was one of the easiest lines of the year (or seemed so at least). Lets hope the momentum keeps rolling...

1* Texas Tech -6 Over Oklahoma St - Texas Tech's offense has really come around lately. OSU has been very solid, especially on offense, but have not been as good on the road. I expect TT to be able to move the ball at will and score a ton of points, winning by more than 10.

2* Arizona St -4 Over UCLA - I capitalized on UCLA last week, and ASU has been up and down, though mostly down, all season. With a home game against an average defense, average offense, and strong home field, I expect ASU to put up a ton of points as well, winning a shootout.

3* BYU -26` Over New Mexico - I've been riding BYU all season. New Mexico has actually been a solid team, but will not be able to stop BYU. I expect BYU to score every time they touch the ball. As long as BYU puts up 45 points, this is an easy cover, and I expect them to score 50. But really, I'm just riding BYU as they've covered almost every game this season.

4* Penn St -17` Over Michigan St. - John L Smith is coaching his final MSU game. Reason for the players to get up for it? No way, they don't like him. Often players want their outgoing coach to go out on a good note, but these players are simply ready for the season to end. Penn St has a lot to play for, and Paterno will be at the game coaching from the booth, bringing them added motivation. I'll take the PSU motivated team over the MSU team that simply doesn't care. I would like this game at 25 points, and it's only 17`.

5* Iowa St +14` Over Missouri - See Mich St above - complete opposite scenario here. ISU loves coach McCarney, and will put their asses on the line to send out their beloved coach on a winning note. I've always liked McCarney, and he had a fantastic run at ISU. These guys really will be hyped to win this game, and since ISU is getting 3 possessions, I love ISU, and expect an outright win. Yes, ISU wins this game.

Bonus Are you ready for some basketball? Creighton goes to Lincoln tonight to take on Nebraska. I'm leaving in just a couple of short hours. Creighton is only favored by 4` in this game. This is easy money. Throw everything you won from last week on this game!

I can't finish these picks without mentioning Ohio St - Michigan, one of the greatest rivalries in sports. I saw a stat this morning that in the last 57 games, they have split evenly! That is amazing. Legendary Michigan coach Bo Schembechler passed away yesterday, adding even more intrigue to this matchup. I don't have a pick on this game, but had to bring it up as my respect for these 2 programs and this rivalry is very high.

Good Luck!

DK

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