Saturday, October 28, 2006

My Picks for 10/28/06

It's been a fairly rough year to this point, but I expect it to turn around quickly. I normally don't say this, because confidence in betting football is a bad idea, but I have a real good feeling about this weekend. Here is my top 5...

1* North Carolina +9 Over Wake Forest - I've taken NC a lot this year, and they have done nothing but disappoint. However, I feel like they are far undervalued, going up against a Wake team that is one of the most overrated in the country. NC keeps this one close and it comes down to the wire and may possibly inch out a close win, but cover easily.

2* Troy -10 Over North Texas - I talked a few weeks ago about how should come out firing during the SBC season, and they simply dominated the game that week, but did not cover. This week they are going against one of the worst teams in the country, and should win this game by at least 3 TD's.

3* Tennessee -5 Over South Carolina - The other USC has been playing some good football of late, but there offense is still a joke, as they lack the personnel to execute a Spurrier offense correctly. USC is simply overmatched in this game, and Tennessee will be able to move the ball all day, while the SC offense sputters, and Tenn wins by 2 TD's.

4* Kent St -6` Over Ohio - I have been riding Kent all season long. They have only lost 2 games to the spread this year, and I will continue to ride their hot streak. This is still an underrated team because I think people just don't realize they are a good football team - and I understand because it's hard to believe. But coming into the season it was obvious they were one of the most talented teams in the MAC and should slip Solich a Rufee or two, winning this one by 3 TD's at least.

5* BYU -8 Over Air Force - BYU has been simply unstoppable this season. They have been winning games by 30+ points regularly. Shit, they went into BC a few weeks ago and should have won that game. This is a VERY good football team. Air Force on the other hand is unathletic, and very average, and BYU should absolutely dominate this game from start to finish. They are much more talented, athletic, and big than AF. BYU wins this one by no less than 20.

One note on my preseason predictions. I picked Navy to beat ND before the season - this game is today and ND is favored by 14. So if I picked Navy to beat ND, why don't I like them at +14? The reason is simple - Navy is playin without their star QB. If he was playing, Navy would be my 5* pick this week, but as it is, ND will win by about 2 TD's.

Good Luck and GO BIG RED!

No comments: