Last week was a decent week, going 3-2. This is a short week in college football, and thus I have 2 NFL games in my top 5 for this week. Here they are...
1 Tulsa -1 Over UCF - This CUSA Championship game is being played at UCF's home field, however Tulsa is a road team, as they average over 100 ypg offense on the road. Tulsa is simply a better team, is better on the road (and as a result we get line value because the line assumes the home team has the advantage), so I love Tulsa.
2 SDSU +3 Over Hawaii - Another road team here, but it doesn't matter where SDSU plays. They were an underachieving team early on, but have really come on lately as I expected them to do. They win this one because of the huge edge on the defensive side of the ball, winning this one by at least 10.
3 Jags -3 Over Browns - My one worry here is the warm weather team going into cold Cleveland, but it doesn't worry me enough. It won't bother one of the best defenses in the league. The Browns have some QB issues right now, and that is a very bad thing going against such a great defense, and the Jags win by at least 2 TD's.
4 Army +6` Over Navy - In one of the biggest, most respected rivalries in college football, this one should be a good game. Navy has won the last few games against Army, but Army has been playing good football lately, and I expect this to be a hard fought battle with Navy winning but by less than the points.
5 Florida St +14` Over Virginia Tech - This one is being played on a neutral field in the first ever ACC Championship game. My big pick last week was Florida over Florida St and it came in easy, and as a result we get good line value. Even more line value comes from VA Tech's misleading win over North Carolina. I like FSU's defense, and were looking past a meaningless Florida game to this big one against VT, and FSU has a chance to turn around their season in this one game. With their backs against the wall, I love FSU.
Good Luck!!!
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